"My s--- doesn't work in the postseason." That's how A's GM Billy Beane once famously explained why his Moneyball tactics fail in the fall. So what does work? In attempting to predict MLB playoff winners, analysts have tried to find out which stats correlate with postseason success. But here's an easier way: Find the team that has proved it can crush weaker opponents ... then bet against it. Why? Because clubs that play well against the elite during the regular season do better in the postseason than teams that beat up on also-rans.
Danny Knobler, Special to ESPN.com