Commentary

The benefits of Roy Oswalt

He's a big upgrade over Jamie Moyer; add health and the Phillies are quite alive

Originally Published: August 10, 2010
By Tommy Bennett | Baseball Prospectus
Roy HalladayGetty ImagesRoy Halladay hasn't tasted playoff baseball. There's a good chance he will in 2010.

On the morning of July 22, Baseball Prospectus' playoff odds for the Philadelphia Phillies hovered just above 10 percent; now, with mid-August approaching, their odds are a little better than 46 percent.

The Phillies are 1½ games back of the Atlanta Braves in the NL East and on the heels of the San Francisco Giants in the wild-card race.

The 2009 Phillies won Baseball Prospectus' Dick Martin award for the healthiest team in baseball; the story of the 2010 edition has been the exact opposite: Philadelphia has lost stars Chase Utley, Ryan Howard and Shane Victorino to injury.

With just over 50 games to play, the question remains: Can the Phillies get Roy Halladay to the postseason for the first time and become the first team since the 1942-44 Cardinals to win three consecutive NL pennants?