Sim Season: AL East Preview

This preview appears in the April 5 issue of ESPN The Magazine.

Remember 2008, when Buster Olney picked the Indians to win it all? Or last season, when Tim Kurkjian tabbed the Mets to take the NL wild card? We do, which is why we're eliminating human error this year. With the help of the stat gurus at Baseball Think Factory and their cutting-edge computer projection system known as ZiPS, we simulated the 2010 season 100 times. Based on the results, we created pie charts showing how many times your team wins its division. The sims also provide average standings, wild-card chances and each club's most wins and losses. Plus, ZiPS identifies three players per division who'll be much better (and worse) than last year. Who could argue with that? Well, Buster and Tim take their shots, in Man vs. the Machine. Because predictions wouldn't be much fun without them.

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