Commentary

Holliday vs. Bay: D is the difference

Analysis shows why Holliday is more valuable, but one clear fit exists for Bay

Updated: November 18, 2009, 12:30 PM ET
By Jay Jaffe | Baseball Prospectus

Given a relatively weak free-agent class and a stagnant economy, the baseball world is unlikely to see any Mark Teixeira- or CC Sabathia-sized blockbuster deals this winter. Nonetheless, the consensus regarding the current crop is that left fielders Matt Holliday and Jason Bay are the top two hitters available, and with four of the game's six highest-payroll teams -- the New York Yankees, the New York Mets, the Boston Red Sox and the Los Angeles Angels -- among those with vacancies in left or at designated hitter, it stands to reason that both will net tidy deals. What separates the two players?


In this article, Baseball Prospectus will use Plus/Minus, UZR and FRAA to evaluate the defense of Jason Bay and Matt Holliday. You'll find out who's more valuable and by how much, and the best fits for each player with respect to 2010 rosters. For all this information, though, you must be an ESPN Insider.