Commentary

Kiss 'Em Goodbye: Seattle Mariners

Are the Mariners good, or did they just get lucky?

Originally Published: September 25, 2009
By Buster Olney, Baseball Prospectus and Insider staff | ESPN Insider

Insider's series on MLB teams that are out of the playoff race continues with the Seattle Mariners, who gave their fans plenty of late-inning thrills this year (and another 200-hit season from Ichiro Suzuki).

Baseball Prospectus' preseason PECOTA projection: 77-85, third place
Current record: 80-73, third place

The Mariners are 33-18 in one-run games, and 47-55 otherwise. Uh-oh.

To read Buster Olney's take on what went wrong for the Mariners and what's next, plus items from the rumor mill, number-crunching analysis from Baseball Prospectus, a draft recap and whom to watch in spring training, you must be an ESPN Insider. Insider