BP Daily: Mariners have a title shot
Seattle's start could shake up team's thinking on rebuild
If you're one of those statheads inclined to pooh-pooh early-season action, avoid hasty conclusions and prattle on about small sample sizes -- and count me among them -- there is one thing we might not have believed three weeks ago. Out in the AL West, the Mariners should be taken seriously as a team with win-now potential.
No, really. Taking a look at Baseball Prospectus' Playoff Odds Report, you'll see that our daily million-season exercise in forecasting based on today's standings suggests the M's have a 35 percent chance of reaching October action, 33 percent by virtue of winning the West outright. PECOTA projection-enhanced forecasts see the Mariners do better still, winning their division almost 37 percent of the time.
MORE MLB HEADLINES
- Source: Lester to A's, Cespedes to Red Sox
- Presidential farewell: Jeter honored by Bush
- Colletti: Dodgers not going to trade Kemp
- Cards deal for Masterson to bolster pitching
MOST SENT STORIES ON ESPN.COM
BASEBALL PROSPECTUS ON ESPN INSIDER
Baseball Prospectus brings its unique brand of baseball analysis to ESPN Insider.
Week of Sept. 7
Week of Aug. 31
Week of Aug. 24
Week of Aug. 17
Week of Aug. 10
Week of Aug. 3
- Majestic Youth Replica Texas Rangers Adrian Beltre #29 Alternate Royal Jersey