A version of this story appears in the Feb. 6 issue of ESPN The Magazine.
Already tired of talking about Prince Fielder and Albert Pujols? ESPN Insider's Jim Bowden, a former big league GM, ranks next year's free agents in order of how much he'd pay them if he were sitting in the front office.
Why he'll stay: Few players are a better fit for their home park than Cain, a fly-ball pitcher with a 3.12 career ERA at AT&T Park. Plus, the Giants have built their recent success on pitching.
Why he'll leave: Tim Lincecum will hit the free agent market a year later, and the Giants may not be able to afford both guys. I see each as an ace, but the club will likely choose Timmy.
Chance he leaves: 50 percent
Bowden's bid: Six years, $132 million