The Bryce Harper money model
Determining the potential deal for the likely No. 1 pick? Look to Cincinnati
In terms of pure talent evaluation, baseball's draft is among the most difficult across the four major sports -- due to the widely varying ranges in age and experience. This forces clubs to look equally at both nearly finished college products and high school players, many of whom have yet to even physically mature.
Then, there's this factor: In basketball and football, the order in which players go off the board is a solid estimation of their talent level; in baseball, though, without defined bonuses for each pick, signability plays a major factor in where a player is selected. The biggest factor in gauging signability is leverage, and while College of Southern Nevada catcher Bryce Harper is nearly universally seen as historic on a talent level, his leverage is even more unique.
How much is Bryce Harper really worth? Is there any chance he won't sign? Will Scott Boras scare teams off? All the answers and more are here, but you must be an Insider to read them.
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2010 MLB Draft Content
The Washington Nationals selected Bryce Harper from the College of Southern Nevada with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2010 First-Year Player Draft. Check out all the draft content from Keith Law and Jason A. Churchill.
Recaps
- From Harper to Rice: All 1,525 draft picks
- Law on Rounds 2-30: NL
| AL
- Signability concerns rule draft

- Later-round draft steals

- Nats take Harper, plan switch to RF
- Harper on being picked first overall

- Keith Law's Day 1 winners and losers

- The top 50 draft picks
- Draft blog: Pick-by-pick analysis
- BBTN Clubhouse: Valentine's memories
MLB Draft: Basic Info
- Keith Law's Mock Draft: 5/24 | 5/31 | 6/4
- Top 100 Prospects: 6/2 | 5/14 | 4/26
- Top 50 Prospects (2/19)
- Collection of player cards
- Top players by position: 4/26
- 2010 Draft Order
MLB Draft Blog Recent Posts
- 6/5: Evaluating players at Regionals
- 6/2: Law's latest front office buzz
- 5/31: More evidence of arm abuse
- 5/30: Kvasnicka vs. Gibbs
- 5/29: Klein, Wates and Blair all shine
- 5/28: Grandal, Bettis, White all shine
- 5/27: On Ranaudo and Pomeranz
- 5/24: Three teams who need to draft well
- 5/23: Smart draft strategies
- 5/22: How good Harper will be
- 5/21: Keith Law on Georgia Tech prospects
- 5/21: On Wimmers and Kvasnicka
- 5/20: The prep vs. college debate
Columns/Features
- Jerry Crasnick: Harper is that good
- Rob Neyer: Best picks by slot
- Kevin Goldstein: Boras and Harper
- Law/Churchill: 2009 in review -- NL | AL
- Law: The 20 most MLB-ready players
- Goldstein: Lessons of Wieters, Porcello
- Churchill's Organizational Files: AL | NL
Scouting Reports
- Bryce Harper
- Manny Machado
- Jameson Taillon
- Karsten Whitson
- Dylan Covey
- Yasmani Grandal
- Bryce Brentz
- Nick Castellanos
- Austin Wilson
- Alex Wimmers
Videos
- Olney: Miggy eyes another Triple Crown
- Cameron: Top early-season turnarounds
- Petriello: Quiet winter doesn't slow Texas
- Spratt: Goldschmidt setting MVP pace
- Law: Appel not No. 1 in mock draft
