The Bryce Harper money model
Determining the potential deal for the likely No. 1 pick? Look to Cincinnati
In terms of pure talent evaluation, baseball's draft is among the most difficult across the four major sports -- due to the widely varying ranges in age and experience. This forces clubs to look equally at both nearly finished college products and high school players, many of whom have yet to even physically mature.
Then, there's this factor: In basketball and football, the order in which players go off the board is a solid estimation of their talent level; in baseball, though, without defined bonuses for each pick, signability plays a major factor in where a player is selected. The biggest factor in gauging signability is leverage, and while College of Southern Nevada catcher Bryce Harper is nearly universally seen as historic on a talent level, his leverage is even more unique.
How much is Bryce Harper really worth? Is there any chance he won't sign? Will Scott Boras scare teams off? All the answers and more are here, but you must be an Insider to read them.
2010 MLB Draft Content
The Washington Nationals selected Bryce Harper from the College of Southern Nevada with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2010 First-Year Player Draft. Check out all the draft content from Keith Law and Jason A. Churchill.