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Draft no better or worse than other years

6/7/2006

The mantra around baseball this spring has been simple: This is a weak draft. It's the worst draft in memory. It's the worst draft since 2000, which is the new gold standard in bad drafts. No player has "set himself apart."

Here's the hitch: It's not that bad.

The general complaint concerns the lack of top-tier talent available to teams picking in the first round, in particular in its first half. The problem with this is that you hear similar complaints every year: If you don't have one of the top five to 10 picks, you're going to spend about $1.5 million on a player who, according to your evaluations, won't develop into a star, because there are only a few likely stars in even the best draft classes.