Saturday's best tourney bets

Smart plays for Elite Eight matchups of Dayton-Florida, Wisconsin-Arizona

Updated: March 28, 2014, 12:56 PM ET
By Ted Sevransky and Dave Tuley | ESPN Insider

Scottie WilbekinKevin C. Cox/Getty ImagesWill Patric Young, Scottie Wilbekin and Florida be able to hold off a surging Dayton team?

For all of the upsets and insanity that this tournament has brought, when we look at Saturday's Elite Eight showdowns, three of the four teams playing are teams that are supposed to be here -- two No. 1 seeds and a No. 2 seed. The only real upstart in this group is 11-seed Dayton, and the betting markets certainly have them priced accordingly. Here's a pair of Vegas opinions on these two marquee matchups.

Note: * denotes expert's best bet


11-seed Dayton Flyers versus 1-seed Florida Gators

Las Vegas Hotel (LVH) line: Florida minus-10
PickCenter consensus pick: Dayton 57 percent

Florida was able to win and cover against UCLA despite the fact that Patric Young and Casey Prather were in foul trouble throughout and each was held under 20 minutes of floor time. Michael Frazier II hit a handful of huge 3-pointers and Scottie Wilbekin played like a senior point guard on a championship contending team. With Wilbekin on the floor this season, the Gators are a buzzer-beater away (by Shabazz Napier of UConn) from a 31-0 SU record. Wilbekin didn't commit a single turnover in 35 minutes Thursday (he's committed only 55 all season), and he hit a pair of clutch shots during crunch time. Each and every one of those Gators is a tough matchup for Dayton.

Ted Sevransky, better known as Teddy Covers, has been handicapping sports in Vegas since 1998.

Dave Tuley has covered the Las Vegas race and sports book scene since 1998 and runs his own website, ViewFromVegas.com.