Note: ESPN's Joe Lunardi assigned a team of Bracketologists to put together Insider's Tournament Tips, offering historical analysis of the bracket and in-depth breakdowns on all 68 tournament teams to help you make smart picks.
First off, Florida State can make the Final Four. The Seminoles could also lose to St. Bonaventure, Cincinnati or Texas the first weekend. How else to characterize a team that beats North Carolina and Duke, but loses to two Ivy League teams? I'm going to split the difference and put FSU in the Sweet 16, before Ohio State knocks hte Noles out.
Plus, you can enlist the help of Insider's Bracket Predictor tool to aid your picks.
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Take a look inside the data used by the selection committee in seeding the bracket: