How Baylor can beat Kentucky

Like pretty much every other rational person outside of Waco, Texas, I expect Kentucky will win its Elite Eight game against Baylor today and go on to play in the Final Four.

Not exactly going out on a limb, right? I said as much two weeks ago, when the pairings came out, I said so 10 days ago, when I had to fill out my bracket, and I said so three days ago, when I had to make my Sweet 16 picks. I fully expect that the Bears will be sent home by John Calipari's team today.

But just because I expect something to happen doesn't mean it's a foregone conclusion. Sure, Kentucky's the best team in the country, but (take a deep breath, brace yourself) it's possible for the best team in the country to lose a basketball game. The Wildcats lost on Dec. 10 to Indiana, and they lost on March 11 to Vanderbilt. It's possible.

Now the question is simply whether Baylor can beat the best team in the country. And while I don't like any team's chances against UK, I do think the Bears have a better shot at pulling off the upset than most opponents could claim.

To read the full story from John Gasaway on how Baylor can beat Kentucky, plus gain access to all of ESPN Insider's daily college hoops content, sign up today and become an Insider.

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John Gasaway

ESPN Insider

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• ESPN Insider college basketball contributor
• First began covering college hoops in 2004
• Has written for Basketball Prospectus and the Wall Street Journal