Bracket Math: Latest S-curve

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This edition of "Bracket Math" includes games through Thursday, March 14. Rankings reflect an up-to-date S-Curve from yours truly, posing as one hypothetical member of the NCAA men's basketball committee.

Notes on the "new" math:

Scouting the Championship Week games Friday …

• MUST WIN TO STAY IN THE HUNT FOR A NO. 1 SEED: Georgetown (versus Syracuse, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN, Big East semifinal), Kansas (versus Iowa State, 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU, Big 12 semifinal), Louisville (versus Notre Dame, 9 p.m. ET, ESPN, Big East semifinal), Michigan State (versus Iowa, Big Ten quarterfinal)

• NOTHING CHANGES: Ohio State (versus Nebraska, Big Ten quarterfinal), Arizona versus UCLA (Pac-12 semifinal), Oklahoma State versus Kansas State (10 p.m. ET, ESPNU, Big 12 semifinal), Colorado State versus UNLV (Mountain West semifinal)

• ON THE BUBBLE WITH A LOSS: La Salle (versus Butler, A-10 quarterfinal), Tennessee (versus Alabama, 3 p.m. ET, ESPNU, SEC quarterfinal), Kentucky (versus Vanderbilt, 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN3, SEC quarterfinal)

• MUST WIN TO STAY ON THE BUBBLE: Southern Miss (versus UTEP, C-USA semifinal), Akron (versus Kent State, 6:30 p.m. ET, ESPN3, MAC semifinal), Maryland (versus Duke, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2, ACC quarterfinal), Iowa (versus Michigan State, Big Ten quarterfinal), Ole Miss (versus Missouri, 10 p.m. ET, ESPN3, SEC quarterfinal)

The Bracket

This is where I project teams would fall if Selection Sunday were today. Remember, the S-Curve flows left to right, then right to left, then back again as you read down the chart.

To see how the latest S-curve breaks down, sign up for ESPN Insider today.

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Joe Lunardi | email

Senior Writer, ESPN.com

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• Resident college basketball bracketologist for ESPN
• Contributor to SportsCenter, ESPN Insider
• Published first public bracket in 1995