Gonzaga takes top overall spot
Indiana drops to No. 3 overall; SEC teams fighting to stay in field
This edition of "Bracket Math" includes games through Tuesday. Rankings reflect an up-to-date S-curve from yours truly, posing as one hypothetical member of the NCAA men's basketball committee.
Notes on the "new" math:
• One could make a legitimate argument that the current No. 1 seeds -- Gonzaga, Kansas, Indiana and Georgetown -- would lose a round-robin against the current No. 2 seeds (Duke, Louisville, Miami and Michigan). And the No. 3 seeds aren't exactly chopped liver. In other words, seeding will matter less than matchups and momentum on Selection Sunday. Let's also expect the most movement ever within the top quadrant of the bracket in the days leading up to selections.
• I'll say it right now: None of the current SEC bubble teams -- Tennessee, Ole Miss, Alabama and Arkansas -- is worthy of the NCAA tournament. None of them can win on the road, and most played terrible schedules. I'll give Kentucky a pass for now given Nerlens Noel's injury, but eventually the new Cats need to show us something away from Rupp Arena. In the meantime, if any of these teams takes a spot from Belmont or Middle Tennessee (should either need one), it would be a crime. In this season's lousy SEC, I'm convinced that both of those mid-majors would go at least .500.
• Most impactful Wednesday games: Georgetown at Villanova, Temple at Fordham, Iowa State at Oklahoma State, Maryland at North Carolina, Tennessee at Auburn.
• Most impactful Thursday games: Kentucky at Georgia, Louisiana Tech at New Mexico State, Wisconsin at Michigan State.
This is where I project teams would fall if Selection Sunday were today. Remember, the S-curve flows left to right, then right to left, then back again as you read down the chart.
To read about why Gonzaga will be the top overall seed, and to see how the latest S-curve breaks down, sign up for ESPN Insider today.
We see that you are not an ESPN Insider. Upgrade today and gain access to our exclusive coverage.
MORE MEN'S COLLEGE BASKETBALL HEADLINES
- Top Cats: Zona is new No. 1; Syracuse 2nd
- UF guards Wilbekin, Hill to play vs. Kansas
- Ducks overcome Henderson, Ole Miss in OT
- No. 24 San Diego St. rallies by Washington
MOST SENT STORIES ON ESPN.COM
Insider CBB content
• Greenberg/Telep: Kansas Jayhawks
• Greenberg/Finkelstein: Marquette
• Gasaway/Rankin: Indiana Hoosiers
• Gasaway/Rankin: Michigan Wolverines
• Gasaway/Rankin: Ohio State Buckeyes
• Greenberg/Finkelstein: Memphis Tigers
• Gasaway/Rankin: Florida Gators
• Greenberg/Telep: Kentucky Wildcats
• Gasaway/Finkelstein: Louisville Cardinals
• Gasaway/Finkelstein: Syracuse Orange
• Greenberg/Biancardi: NC State Wolfpack
• Biancardi/Gasaway: Duke Blue Devils
• Biancardi/Gasaway: North Carolina Tar Heels
• Biancardi/Gasaway: Arizona Wildcats
• Greenberg/Telep: UCLA Bruins
• Gasaway: Breakout second-year coaches
• Lunardi: Could Louisville repeat as champs?
• Greenberg: UVA tops list of surprise teams
• Fraschilla: How returning stars can improve
• Gasaway: Top title challengers to Kentucky
• Lunardi: Who will earn No. 1 seeds in 2014?
• Telep: Latest on No. 13 junior Theo Pinson
• Rankin: What Wiggins means for Kansas
• Biancardi: KU to prep Wiggins for NBA success
• Telep: Updated look at top recruits
• Roundtable: Most impressive on AAU circuit?
• Ford: NBA draft lottery preview
• Ford: Winners from the NBA draft combine
• Fraschilla: Burke the draft's top point guard?
• Ford: Measurements concern some GMs
• Ford: Why Wiggins would go No. 1 in 2013
Jay Bilas Blog
Jay's take on latest from around the nation
Analysis from Fraschilla, Greenberg and Lunardi
Get news and rumblings before anyone
Hollinger's College PER
College basketball's top players
Get wagering advice for every game