Hoyas over Duke for No. 1 seed

Don't like the No. 1 seeds? Just wait about an hour and at least one of them will lose.

That's how it seemed last week when Indiana (at Minnesota), Duke (at Virginia), Florida (at Tennessee) and Michigan (at Penn State) all stumbled in a little more than a 48-hour period. The losses were good news for Gonzaga, Kansas and Georgetown, each of which move up this week and face the burden of defending their newfound spots in the bracket.

Georgetown's spot is the most tenuous and, in a bit of a surprise to me, controversial. Apparently, the assumption was that Duke would move back up if the Blue Devils won their rematch with Miami. Yet all that did was square the season series between the two and bring the Devils within two games of the Hurricanes in the ACC. I'll wait for a Georgetown loss and/or a Miami-Duke rubber game to reassess these three teams relative to the top line.

In the meantime, the Hoyas own the longest winning streak among BCS conference members. They also have seven RPI Top 50 wins (tied for fourth in the country) and the best collection of true road wins -- Notre Dame, Syracuse, Connecticut, Cincinnati -- among all the No. 1 seed contenders.

Georgetown's biggest worry at this point might just be the Lunardi jinx.

For Lunardi's in-depth report that goes beyond Bracketology, plus complete access to Insider's college hoops coverage, become an ESPN Insider.

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Joe Lunardi | email

Senior Writer, ESPN.com

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• Resident college basketball bracketologist for ESPN
• Contributor to SportsCenter, ESPN Insider
• Published first public bracket in 1995