Terrifying 'best day' teams
These four teams are inconsistent, but at their best, they can beat anyone
Winning the NCAA tournament requires that a team raise its level of play for six games. More specifically, a team usually needs to play better than the average level it displayed over the course of the regular season. It stands to reason that if you simply play average, even as the favorite, you put yourself at risk of losing to an opponent that plays over its head. Upsets don't happen if great teams play at their best.
Historically, there is no better example of a team playing better than its season-long stats than VCU in 2011. The Rams were ranked well outside the top 100 in adjusted defensive efficiency heading into the tournament but made it to the Final Four by playing like the team that crushed George Mason in the CAA tournament and won at Wichita State in their BracketBusters games.
With that in mind, it's instructive to look at the teams whose best is difficult for others to match. I've gone back through each team's schedule and taken its five best performances against top-100 quality competition. These performances were then adjusted for the quality of the opposition and where the game was played. Not surprisingly, many of the teams that are "scary good" at their best are also teams vying for 1-seed honors. The list contains teams like Indiana, Duke, Miami, Florida, Kansas and Michigan.
The four teams not in consideration for 1-seeds are a little more interesting. They are the teams that haven't always been spectacular, but when they've been at their best, they've played much better than their tournament seed will indicate.
To read Ken Pomeroy's full article on the nation's four most terrifying "best day" teams, you must be an ESPN Insider.
-
ESPN The Magazine subscribers
-
Need more information?
- ESPN Insider college basketball contributor
- Produces proprietary college basketball statistics for his website, kenpom.com
SPONSORED HEADLINES
MORE MEN'S COLLEGE BASKETBALL HEADLINES
- Report: Coach K considering Team USA return
- Washington's Wilcox undergoes foot surgery
- Ex-coach Alford, New Mexico agree on buyout
- Kansas St. adds former Hoyas forward Bolden
MOST SENT STORIES ON ESPN.COM
Insider CBB content

LATEST CONTENT ![]()
Freshman Impact
• Greenberg/Finkelstein: Memphis Tigers
• Gasaway/Rankin: Florida Gators
• Greenberg/Telep: Kentucky Wildcats
• Gasaway/Finkelstein: Louisville Cardinals
• Gasaway/Finkelstein: Syracuse Orange
• Greenberg/Biancardi: NC State Wolfpack
• Biancardi/Gasaway: Duke Blue Devils
• Biancardi/Gasaway: North Carolina Tar Heels
• Biancardi/Gasaway: Arizona Wildcats
• Greenberg/Telep: UCLA Bruins
Expert Takes
• Lunardi: Could Louisville repeat as champs?
• Greenberg: UVA tops list of surprise teams
• Fraschilla: How returning stars can improve
• Gasaway: Top title challengers to Kentucky
• Lunardi: Who will earn No. 1 seeds in 2014?
• Fraschilla: How top recruits can improve
• Pomeroy: Next season's All-American teams
• Gasaway: Top freshmen for 2012-13
• Bilas: Kentucky tops 2013-14 rankings
RecruitingNation
• Rankin: What Wiggins means for Kansas
• Biancardi: KU to prep Wiggins for NBA success
• Telep: Updated look at top recruits
• Roundtable: Most impressive on AAU circuit?
• Recruiting: Top battles for elite prospects
• Finkelstein: Minnesota's new approach
• Biancardi: Class of 2013 Dream Team
• Roundtable: Bold predictions for 2013 classes
• Rankin: Top 5 sleeper recruiting classes
NBA draft
• Fraschilla: Burke the draft's top point guard?
• Ford: Measurements concern some GMs
• Ford: Why Wiggins would go No. 1 in 2013
• Ford: Mock Draft 2.0
• Ford: McCollum among top sleeper prospects
• Fraschilla: The case for taking Len over Noel
• Ford: An early look at the 2014 NBA draft
• Ford: Ranking the top 30 NBA draft prospects
• Ford: Who's in, who's out of draft?
ESSENTIAL LINKS ![]()
Jay Bilas Blog
Jay's take on latest from around the nation
Experts Blog
Analysis from Fraschilla, Greenberg and Lunardi
Rumor Central
Get news and rumblings before anyone
Hollinger's College PER
College basketball's top players
PickCenter
Get wagering advice for every game
- Insider: How will two freshmen help Florida?
- Insider: Will Kentucky live up to the hype?
- Insider: Memphis a top-15 team in '13-14?
- Ford: Why Wiggins would go No. 1 in NBA draft
- Recruiting: Most impressive on AAU circuit?

