- Joe Lunardi, Senior Writer, ESPN.com
This edition of Bracket Math includes games through Saturday, Feb. 9. Rankings reflect an up-to-date S-Curve from yours truly, posing as one hypothetical member of the NCAA men's basketball committee.
Notes on the "new" math:
• The best seat in the house for Sunday's action belongs to the Miami Hurricanes. Everyone's favorite "under the radar" team is no longer that, sitting at No. 5 on the S-Curve and just waiting for someone ahead of them to fall. With No. 1 Duke (at Boston College) and No. 7 Arizona (versus Cal) still to play Sunday, it seems likely the Hurricanes get their wish and move up to the top line between now and Tuesday's full bracket.
• There is equal if not greater intrigue at the cut line on Sunday. Illinois (at Minnesota) and St. John's (at Syracuse) are as vulnerable as ever, with the winner of the ACC clash between Virginia and Maryland looking -- and likely -- to move up. Arizona State, a loser at home to Stanford on Saturday, could also return to the field if things break its way.
• Most impactful Monday games: Marquette at Georgetown (for both), Norfolk State (versus Maryland-Eastern Shore), Southern U. (at Mississippi Valley State), Kansas State at Kansas (both).
• Most impactful Tuesday games: Valparaiso (at Wright State), Kentucky at Florida (both), Virginia (versus Virginia Tech), Stony Brook (versus Binghamton), Indiana State (at Missouri State), Villanova (at Cincinnati), Michigan at Michigan State (both).
This is where I believe teams would fall if Selection Sunday were today. Remember, the S-Curve flows left-to-right, then right-to-left, then back again as you read down the chart. It gives you a look at which teams are locks, which teams still have work to do, which teams are primed to land automatic bids and which teams are on the right and wrong side of the bubble. (Note: Teams in ALL CAPS are current conference leaders.)