Which long shots have most value?
Pittsburgh, Wisconsin and Gonzaga might make good wagers
In 1985, coach Rollie Massimino's Villanova Wildcats were the longest of long shots. After finishing the Big East regular season and tournament with a combined record of 19-10 and spending most of the season outside of the AP Top 25, the Wildcats entered the NCAA tournament as an 8-seed.
Over the next two and a half weeks, Villanova went on a thrilling run, ending in a two-point victory over Patrick Ewing and the Georgetown Hoyas to claim the NCAA title.
Everyone loves the underdog, and NCAA championship futures give bettors a way to try to profit from the next Villanova. Using the same technology and analytical methods that we explained in our first article on 2013 futures odds values, we set out to find current long shot teams that appear to offer the most value (or at least to be close enough to a fair bet) for bettors who are comfortable with high risk and willing to search for the best price in the market. Just remember that odds can and will change over time, so value highlighted today could be gone by next week.
For those unfamiliar with futures betting, keep in mind that betting value has nothing to do with how good or bad a team is in an absolute sense. It simply refers to whether current betting odds underestimate a team's actual chances of making a storybook run to an NCAA title.
To read more about which NCAA championship long shots are good value bets, become an Insider today.
We see that you are not an ESPN Insider. Upgrade today and gain access to our exclusive coverage.
MORE MEN'S COLLEGE BASKETBALL HEADLINES
- NCAA president: Pay-for-play isn't coming
- NCAA may work with power 5 conferences
- No. 1 Arizona runs over New Mexico State
- Smith, Ohio State cruise to rout of Bryant
MOST SENT STORIES ON ESPN.COM
Insider CBB content
• Greenberg/Telep: Kansas Jayhawks
• Greenberg/Finkelstein: Marquette
• Gasaway/Rankin: Indiana Hoosiers
• Gasaway/Rankin: Michigan Wolverines
• Gasaway/Rankin: Ohio State Buckeyes
• Greenberg/Finkelstein: Memphis Tigers
• Gasaway/Rankin: Florida Gators
• Greenberg/Telep: Kentucky Wildcats
• Gasaway/Finkelstein: Louisville Cardinals
• Gasaway/Finkelstein: Syracuse Orange
• Greenberg/Biancardi: NC State Wolfpack
• Biancardi/Gasaway: Duke Blue Devils
• Biancardi/Gasaway: North Carolina Tar Heels
• Biancardi/Gasaway: Arizona Wildcats
• Greenberg/Telep: UCLA Bruins
• Gasaway: Breakout second-year coaches
• Lunardi: Could Louisville repeat as champs?
• Greenberg: UVA tops list of surprise teams
• Fraschilla: How returning stars can improve
• Gasaway: Top title challengers to Kentucky
• Lunardi: Who will earn No. 1 seeds in 2014?
• Telep: Latest on No. 13 junior Theo Pinson
• Rankin: What Wiggins means for Kansas
• Biancardi: KU to prep Wiggins for NBA success
• Telep: Updated look at top recruits
• Roundtable: Most impressive on AAU circuit?
• Ford: NBA draft lottery preview
• Ford: Winners from the NBA draft combine
• Fraschilla: Burke the draft's top point guard?
• Ford: Measurements concern some GMs
• Ford: Why Wiggins would go No. 1 in 2013
Jay Bilas Blog
Jay's take on latest from around the nation
Analysis from Fraschilla, Greenberg and Lunardi
Get news and rumblings before anyone
Hollinger's College PER
College basketball's top players
Get wagering advice for every game
- JanSport Youth Gonzaga Bulldogs Blue Basketball T-Shirt