The first week in March can be a stressful time if you're sitting just just beyond the bubble. Teams ahead of you are locking up at-large bids. Teams behind you are flying past you to claim them for themselves. And then there are the bid thieves -- the teams well off the radar that tear a spot in the bracket away from its bubble brethren with a conference title and an automatic invitation. It's enough to make you draw the shades, don a tinfoil hat and rock back and forth on the floor wondering who's coming to get you next.
Let's help calm those nerves a little bit. When you survey the remaining teams still kicking this championship week, it's clear that we're not looking at a den of bid thieves.
On Tuesday, we handicapped the major conference bubble teams in terms of their chances of securing wins that would fortify their NCAA tournament bids. Applying a similar lens to teams on the dark side of the bubble who need an automatic bid to qualify, the odds of teams stealing invites to the Dance simply do not look too good.