Upsets in the making

Thanks to our Giant Killers model, this year you'll see the Cinderellas coming

Originally Published: March 4, 2014
By Jordan Brenner and Peter Keating | ESPN The Magazine

Marcus SmartTim Heitman/USA TODAY SportsMarcus Smart and the Cowboys loom as a nightmare matchup for top seeds.

LOOKING TO PREDICT some tourney shockers? In our ninth year identifying potential Giant Killers -- teams beating an opponent that's at least five seeds higher -- we trained our statistical model on three types of squads that could put some of the beloved madness into March: flawed but dangerous power-conference teams, vulnerable Giants and those pesky Cinderellas. Let's blow up some brackets ...

Jordan Brenner | email

ESPN The Magazine contributing writer
Brenner writes for ESPN The Magazine and ESPN Insider. He covers the NBA and college basketball.
Peter Keating is a senior writer at ESPN The Magazine, where he covers investigative and statistical subjects. He started writing "The Biz," a column looking at sports business from the fan's point of view, in 1999. He also coordinates the Magazine's annual "Ultimate Standings" project, which ranks all pro franchises according to how much they give back to fans. His work on concussions in football has earned awards from the Deadline Club, the New York Press Club and the Center for the Study of Sport in Society.