This edition of "Bracket Math" includes all games through Sunday, March 6. Rankings reflect an up-to-date S-Curve from yours truly, posing as one hypothetical member of the NCAA men's basketball committee.
After a wild weekend and some upsets in mid-major conference tournaments, here's how the S-Curve looks Monday morning. Check back for updates throughout the week.
With the first automatic bids now claimed, we've had to adjust the key to our chart slightly. Please note that teams in bold are the projected automatic bid winners for their conference. Teams in bold and all capital letters have clinched their conference's automatic bids.
*: Clinched regular-season title and NIT automatic bid if needed
Bold: Projected conference winners (highest remaining conference tournament seed)
CAPS and BOLD: Clinched automatic bid
GREEN: Teams with tourney odds of 85 percent or better through games of Feb. 22.
YELLOW: "Last four in" (will play March 15-16 in Dayton, Ohio)
GOLD: Lowest four auto-bids (will play March 15-16 in Dayton, Ohio)
RED: "First four out" (teams 69-72 on the S-curve)
ORANGE: "Next four out" (teams 73-76 on the S-Curve)
To see a full breakdown of the Seed Curve as it stand today and get an early glimpse of the bubble, plus get access to all of Insider's NCAA content to prepare your bracket for the NCAA Tournament, sign up for ESPN Insider today.