Tournament Guide: Boston College résumé

Originally Published: March 14, 2004
By By Tom Durso | Bracketologist

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Boston College's complete Bracketology chart
Take a look inside the data used by the tournament selection committee in seeding the bracket.

Team Data
Points Per Game
Points Allowed
Scoring Margin 		69.7 ppg
63.9 ppg
+5.8 		FG pct.
FG allowed
3-PT pct.
3-PT allowed
3PT ratio (of FG) FT pct.
FT totals 		.462
.404
.337
.330
.160
.670
473/326 		Reb. Margin
TO Margin
Asst:TO ratio
Asst:FG ratio 		2.5 rpg
-1.0 tpg
1.24
.675


Individual Numbers
Starters
Pos. Player Min. Basics Good Bad Notes
1

2

3

4

5 		Louis Hinnant
(6-4, 190, SO)
Sean Marshall
(6-5, 205, FR)
Jared Dudley
(6-7, 210, FR)
Craig Smith
(6-7, 265, SO)
Uka Agbai
(6-8, 262, SR) 		26.3

25.0

33.5

32.9

29.0 		5.4 ppg, 3.5 apg

8.4 ppg, 2.8 rpg

12.4 ppg, 6.7 rpg

17.1 ppg, 8.0 rpg

10.7 ppg, 5.3 rpg 		.491 3PT

2.0 apg

.494 FG

.549 FG

.473 FG 		2.1 rpg

.385 FG

.319 3PT

.556 FT

.80 Ast/TO 		Doesn't need to score to be effective.
Shooting guard without a great shot.
A smart, hardworking contributor at both ends.
One of the Big East's best big men.
Physical presence who has worked his way back from frightening neck injury.
Rotation
Pos. Player Min. Basics Good Bad Notes
G

G 		Jermaine Watson
(6-3, 198, JR)
Steve Hailey
(6-0, 170, FR) 		20.1

17.8 		6.6 ppg, 2.7 rpg

4.8 ppg, 1.4 rpg 		.709 FT

.750 FT 		1.2 tpg

.415 FG 		Strong inside game belies his size.
Impressive 2.9 apg for backup point guard.


Season notes
High Point BC finished very strong, including a nine-point win at Providence and a Big East tourney upset of Syracuse.
Low Point The Eagles failed to hold a lead against No. 6 UConn and lost their third straight, 63-58, on Jan. 31.
Most Revealing Moment Back-to-back wins against Seton Hall and North Carolina State in mid-January were Boston College's first wins of note.
Did You Know? Agbai set a school record by playing in his 127th collegiate game in the Eagles' Big East tourney opener.


Scouting report
Offensive Preference BC is a half-court team that looks to dump the ball inside as often as possible.
Defensive Philosophy Deny the ball inside and make the opponent win the game on the perimeter.
Secret Strength Opponents have to earn their points; the Eagles shot almost 250 more free throws this season.
Achilles Heel BC is not blessed with good outside shooters, making comebacks difficult.
Will Lose When ... Teams that can pressure the ball on the perimeter and keep it from getting down low have the best shot to down BC.
Famous Last Words The young Eagles somehow continue to win big games, but the lights are going to get even brighter now.


Tournament History (1985-2003) Overall NCAA History
NCAA appearances: 6 (of 19)
Seed average: 8.3
Highest seed No. 3
Lowest seed: No. 11 (1985, 1996, 2002)
Biggest upset: 1994 vs. No. 1 North Carolina
Most upsetting:2001 vs. No. 6 Southern Cal
Bracketology score: 1.56 		NCAA appearances:14
All-time record: 17-14 (.548)
Best finish: 1982 and 1994, Elite Eight
Coach's NCAA record: Al Skinner (2-4, .333)


Quad comparison
Milwaukee
           Inside N-C Luna     vs.  vs.  Bad Cls Lst   
Team    Sd  RPI   RPI RPI SOS 1-25 26-50  L   L  10   B-Scr OffQ  DefQ ASM
Ga.Tech  3  13    12  10  15  7-6   1-1   0   2  6-4  0.91  8.4   6.2  14.6
N.Iowa  14  59    85  62  98  1-1   0-0   4   3  9-1  2.00  3.2   2.4   5.6
Utah    11  36    51  41  69  0-1   3-3   2   1  7-3  1.04 (2.8) 12.8  10.0
B.C.     6  22    17  16  23  3-6   3-0   0   2  8-2  1.56  2.4   5.7   8.1
Quad Comparison Key
InsideRPI Insider's replication of the Ratings Percentage Index.
N-C RPI RPI in non-conference games only.
LunaRPI Joe Lunardi's "predictive" RPI.
SOS Strenth of Schedule (all games).
1-25 Record vs. 1-25 RPI teams.
26-50 Record vs. 26-50 RPI teams.
Bad Loss Losses to teams ranked below 150 in the RPI.
Close Loss Losses by 3 points or less or in overtime.
Last 10 Record in Last 10 games before tourney.
B-Score Bracketology Scores measure whether a team more often "exceeds" its seed or "falls short" of expectation (average B-Score is 1.00).
OffQ Offensive Quotient (average points per game by which a team exceeds/falls below the aggregate defense of its opponents).
DefQ Defensive Quotient (average points per game allowed below/above the aggregate offense of its opponents).
ASM Adjusted Scoring Margin (OffQ+DefQ) has accurately predicted 10 of the last 16 Final Four participants).

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