The Bracketology Report: Texas Tech

Updated: January 14, 2004, 4:35 PM ET
By Charlie Creme | Insider Bracketologist

Editor's note: Each week Bracketology Insider will take an in-depth look at teams headed for the NCAA Tournament ... or not.

Week in review
Texas Tech (No. 8 RPI, No. 20 SOS) played just once last week but made it count with a convincing 83-62 win over Oklahoma State (No. 69 RPI, No. 192 SOS) on Saturday in Lubbock. The Red Raiders broke the game open with an 11-0 run midway through the second half and never looked back.

Andre Emmett had 32 points in the win, helping him to Big 12 Player of the Week honors for the third straight time, and Texas Tech held the nation's most-accurate shooting team to just 35 percent from the field.

Coming up
After a full week off, the Red Raiders will be looking to make it 10 victories in a row when they visit Baylor (No. 285 RPI, No. 297 SOS) Saturday night.

The Red Raiders lost in Waco last season on March 8, a defeat that ultimately cost them an NCAA at-large bid. Ironically, it was also the last win for the Bears under Dave Bliss before tragedy struck the program and scandal broke out at the school.

"Planting seeds"
The Red Raiders are No. 17 this week on The Bracketology Report national seeding chart. This makes Texas Tech the highest rated No. 5 seed.

National television can leave the most lasting of impressions. So many observers probably remember the pasting of Texas Tech by Georgia Tech in the Preseason NIT final. However, other than a head-scratching loss at SMU, the Red Raiders have performed extremely well since against a solid, if not spectacular schedule.

Bob Knight's club has done especially well against his former conference. Wins over Iowa, Minnesota and Ohio State make one wonder if he ever really left the Big Ten. After those three clubs are done beating each other up this week, the Raiders will be hoping for many more wins from each the rest of the season.

Games of the Week
Texas Tech fans should root FOR and AGAINST the teams in ALL CAPS.
For Mississippi State @ LSU (Sat.)
TCU @ Cincinnati (Sat.)
Against WISCONSIN @ Purdue (Wed.)
Rutgers @ PITTSBURGH (Sat.)


Inside the Numbers
Additional considerations for the NCAA Selection Committee include:
"Good" wins
(vs. RPI 1-25) NONE
(vs. RPI 26-50) N-Utah, UTEP
(vs. RPI 51-100) East Tennessee State, San Diego State, Iowa, Minnesota, Oklahoma State
"Bad" losses
(vs. RPI 101-150) @SMU
(vs. RPI sub-150) NONE
Record vs. projected field (1-1)
Win: Utah
Loss: N-Georiga Tech
Record vs. at-large pool (n/a)
Win: does not yet apply
Loss: does not yet apply
Reason(s) to SEED Texas Tech
  • No. 20 SOS
  • 7-1 vs. RPI Top 100
  • Reason(s) to DROP Texas Tech
  • one sub-100 loss
  • 3-2 road/neutral record
  • Season breakdown (9-4, 0-2)
    All RPI data through Monday, Jan. 12

    
    Date      Opponent              Result     Opp.RPI    Opp.SOS
    11/18     Davidson              89-58        137        17
    11/21     Massachusetts         90-50        152        47
    11/23     East Tennessee State  64-53        96         160
    11/26     N-Utah                65-54        33         69
    11/28     N-Georgia Tech        65-85 (L)    23         64

    12/1 @SMU 59-62 (L 123 139 12/3 UTEP 70-57 43 37 12/6 @New Mexico 67-58 124 166 12/10 TCU 67-60 154 50 12/13 San Diego State 78-68 78 51 12/17 Sam Houston 97-63 300 271 12/22 Iowa 65-59 86 151

    1/1 Minnesota 90-73 82 91 1/4 @Ohio State 80-72 127 131 1/10 Oklahoma State 83-62 72 209 1/17 @Baylor 289 279 1/19 Oklahoma 56 235 1/24 @Texas A&M 242 323 1/26 Texas 54 169 1/31 @Oklahoma State 72 209

    2/3 Baylor 289 279 2/7 @Kansas 16 23 2/11 @Oklahoma 56 235 2/14 Kansas State 140 274 2/18 @Colorado 111 197 2/21 Texas A&M 242 323 2/24 @Nebraska 36 87 2/28 @Texas 54 169

    3/3 Missouri 71 16 3/6 Iowa State 34 112 3/11 BIG 12 TOURNAMENT


    Joe Lunardi's forecast (Jan. 12)
    Chance of NCAA top seed: 5 percent
    Chance of NCAA "protected" (1-4) seed: 20 percent
    Chance of NCAA bid: 80 percent
    Chance of NCAA at-large bid: 75 percent
    Chance of NIT bid: 20 percent
    Chance of missing post-season: 0 percent

    Charlie Creme | email

    Women's College Basketball
    Charlie Creme projects the women's NCAA Tournament bracket for ESPN.com.

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