Twins' bullpen saving the day
While the Twins' starters are struggling, all of their relievers except one have ERAs under 3.10.
Updated: May 23, 2003, 10:51 AM ET
By
Jim Baker
It's been 25 years since Bill James became the first
person to exhaustively study the difference between
the ERAs of starters and relievers. His findings then
continue to hold true today: A reliever has an
inherent advantage in posting a better ERA as compared
to a starter. Why is this? Because, many times, they
enter in the middle of an inning in which one or two
outs have already been recorded. It stands to reason
that the shorter an inning is, the less likely a team
is to score. (A game played with one-out innings would
be a much lower scoring affair than one played with
three.)
In the American League this year, that difference is
about four-tenths of a run per nine inning, a fairly
significant amount considering the sample size
involved. For some teams, though, that difference is
far greater. One of them is the topic of Jim Souhan's
piece in today's Minneapolis Star-Tribune. Souhan
spotlights the pen of the Minnesota Twins, the team
with the best relief ERA in the League in 2003 and, at
1.93, the third-largest differential between that of
their starters and their relievers.
While only one Twins starter -- Kyle Lohse -- has posted
an ERA under 4.50, all their relievers -- save for Tony
Fiore -- have ERAs under 3.10. Souhan details the
trials and errors that led this group to this juncture
in their careers. Like most relievers, Latroy Hawkins,
Eddie Guardado, J.C. Romero and Johan Santana have
taken the circle route to find themselves where they
are today.
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