Projecting the leaderboards

Using the Wilton projection system, Joe Sheehan of Baseball Prospectus predicts the league leaders in HRs, RBI and average.

Updated: March 26, 2002, 2:04 PM ET
By Joe Sheehan | Special to ESPN.com

The Wilton projection system, developed by Clay Davenport, is an integral part of every "Baseball Prospectus" annual. We run projections for every position player in the book, almost 1,000 players in all.

As with any projection system, Wilton has its successes and failures. For example, here's what we projected for two of the game's best hitters last year, and what they actually did:
                      AB  H  2B T HR Run RBI  BB  SO SB  AVG  OBP  SLG
Brian Giles, Wilton  529 163 30 2 35 121 133 110  74  6 .308 .427 .571
Brian Giles, 2001    576 178 37 7 37 116  95  90  67 13 .309 .404 .590

		

		

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