This Week's College Basketball Winning Thought With Alan Boston: When injuries/suspensions should affect a bet -- and when they shouldn't.
Boston was on a roll this week, so I'm going to dispense with the preamble and let the man go:
"Through years of doing this, I used to comb for every injury imaginable -- and would adjust my rating based on how important I thought the player was. Sometimes I would win and sometimes I would lose. But, 20 years later, I figured out that injuries don't mean a thing. Guys like Evan Turner from the Ohio State Buckeyes are the rare exception. Look at the Oklahoma Sooners on Wednesday night. Both of their starting guards were out and yet Oklahoma ran off to a big lead against the Iowa State Cyclones and won rather comfortably. Go to Texas Tech, which was also down two starters. Yet it played the Texas Longhorns and had its best game of the year. The Red Raiders dominated the game for long stretches and toyed with the Horns, really. They covered easily. Creighton suspended a starting guard and replaced him with a guy who had taken one shot in nine MVC games, a freshman. He had 13 points against Bradley in a game Creighton won and covered. Those are significant losses to those three teams and all three were never in jeopardy of not covering.
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