Week 10 Eliminator best bets
Projecting the safest selections for Eliminator pools in Week 10 and beyond
Week 9 had its share of close calls -- Dallas, Seattle, Indianapolis and Washington -- but it also had a good old-fashioned blowout, as the Philadelphia Eagles put on an Oregon-esque show against the Oakland Raiders. Nick Foles threw for seven touchdowns as the Eagles notched 49 points after scoring just three offensive points in their previous two games combined.
So, which side of Chip Kelly's two-faced offense is for real? The Eagles have added more than 25 points both on the ground and through the air above what a league-average offense would score in similar situations. LeSean McCoy and the rushing attack rank No. 1 in the NFL after adjusting for strength of opponents. Kelly's passing attack, which currently ranks No. 12 in the NFL, has fluctuated tremendously week to week (influenced by constant quarterback injuries). Before this week, the Eagles' points-over-expectation had dropped precipitously from 33 to minus-4 in just two weeks. With Foles' seven-touchdown performance, that rocketed back up to 26.
The truth is, we should not expect the Eagles to be shut out, nor should we expect them to continue to put up 49 points on a regular basis. Between the quarterback play and Chip Kelly's offense, Philadelphia is an extremely high-variance team. This is helpful as an underdog, but it also means they will lose more games in which they are favored than expected. While it is not a recipe for long-term success, it will certainly be entertaining to watch and could play a big role in what some may assume to be a good bet this week.