Week 9 Eliminator best bets
Projecting the safest selections for Eliminator pools in Week 9 and beyond
We are eight weeks into the 2013 NFL season, and the Kansas City Chiefs are still undefeated at 8-0. We don't know everything yet, but here are a few things we do know: The Philadelphia Eagles' offense is not as prolific as we thought a few weeks ago, having scored only 10 points combined in the past two weeks. The Green Bay Packers, New Orleans Saints and Denver Broncos are downright dominant offensively (ranking third, second and first in the NFL in passing after adjusting for strength of opponents). The Minnesota Vikings do not have a viable quarterback. And Calvin Johnson is a monster receiver.
The Detroit Lions' comeback over the Dallas Cowboys in Week 8 was one of the most exciting games of the season to date. The two teams combined for 41 points in the fourth quarter, culminating in a crafty quarterback sneak by Matthew Stafford with no timeouts left and 12 seconds remaining. Sneaky indeed.
Each week, we at numberFire.com will be here with our predictive modeling to help you survive and advance in your Eliminator pool. Our job is to provide you with the best information possible to empower smarter decision-making.
Keep in mind: We are dealing in probability. The NFL is extremely volatile, oozing with random variation -- "any given Sunday" certainly holds true. Upsets will happen. We will be the first to tell you, we can't be right all the time. But we are here to allow you to try to navigate the madness.
To help you visualize, here's our Eliminator Pool threat matrix that shows you how each team projects each week based on our model. It will be updated each week as results come in over the course of the season.
Green -- Our equity-maximizing pick of the week
Red -- Popular pick: This is the consensus pick by you, the player.
Brown -- Max method: This finds the best matchup of the year and works backward to maximize total win percentage throughout the season.
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