Week 6 Eliminator best bets

Projecting the safest selections for Eliminator pools in Week 6 and beyond

Updated: October 8, 2013, 12:52 PM ET
By Nik Bonaddio and Keith Goldner | numberFire

Peyton ManningRay Carlin/Icon SMIPeyton Manning and the Broncos are 28-point favorites against the Jaguars this weekend.

Five weeks into the NFL season, we still have three undefeated teams. The Denver Broncos have been unstoppable, eking out a 51-48 win over the Dallas Cowboys as Peyton Manning inches closer to every passing record known to man. The New Orleans Saints continue to reassert their dominance, taking down a formidable Chicago Bears team at Soldier Field. And the biggest surprise of the lot: Andy Reid's Kansas City Chiefs are 5-0 after beating the Titans on the road.

Heading into Week 6, we see a tie for the largest opening point spread since 1966 at minus-28. The Broncos, and their No. 1 opponent-adjusted offense, play the Eliminator's favorite opponent, the Jacksonville Jaguars, at home. We also see a big NFC East matchup between the sub-.500 Washington Redskins and Cowboys. The Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles are tied atop the division with lowly 2-3 records.

Each week, we at numberFire will be here with our predictive modeling to help you survive and advance in your Eliminator pool. Our job is to provide you with the best information possible to empower smarter decision-making. For a more detailed look at our process, you can refer to our previous articles this season.

To help you visualize, here's our Eliminator Pool threat matrix that shows you how each team projects each week based on our model. It will be updated as results come in over the course of the season.

Green -- Our equity-maximizing pick of the week.

Red -- Popular pick: This is the consensus pick by you, the player.

Brown -- Max method: This finds the best matchup of the year and works backward to maximize total win percentage throughout the season.