Week 5 Eliminator best bets

Projecting the safest selections for Eliminator pools in Week 5 and beyond

Updated: October 1, 2013, 11:59 AM ET
By Nik Bonaddio and Keith Goldner | numberFire

Peyton ManningDrew Hallowell/Philadelphia Eagles/Getty ImagesPeyton Manning has the Broncos offense running on all cylinders thus far in 2013.

Is there anyone who doesn't think Peyton Manning might still have a few elite years left in him? On Sunday, Manning & Co. set a Denver Broncos scoring record, putting up 52 points in an absolute demolition of the Philadelphia Eagles. Manning has now thrown a league-leading 16 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Zero. In fact, he has added 92 points to the Broncos offense above expectation, and has improved his team's chances of scoring on 64 percent of drop-backs. Both of these figures are tops in the league.

Elsewhere, Brian Hoyer and the Cleveland Browns won their second straight game, this time over a Cincinnati Bengals team that had just beaten the Green Bay Packers. The Seattle Seahawks improved to 4-0 with an overtime win after the Houston Texans blew a 20-3 halftime lead. And the Kansas City Chiefs remained undefeated (with the New York Giants being embarrassed again) thanks to the league's No. 1 defense in terms of efficiency added. Oh, and the NFC East does not have a team over .500.

Each week, Insider will use numberFire's predictive modeling to help you survive and advance in your Eliminator pool. To do this, we look both at our projections and where the masses are likely leaning with their weekly picks in order to maximize your chances at winning your pool. For a more detailed look at our process, you can refer back to our previous articles this season.

To help you visualize your path forward, below you'll find our Eliminator threat matrix that shows you how each team projects each week based on our model. It will be updated each week as results come in over the course of the season. The color-coded cells showcase three key bits of info:

Green: Our win-maximizing pick of the week.

Red: This is the consensus pick by you, the players in ESPN's Eliminator Challenge game.

Brown: The max method. This finds the best matchup of the year and works backward to maximize total win percentage throughout the season.