Week 11 fantasy projections

Carson Palmer, Felix Jones and Brandon Stokley look like good starts

Originally Published: November 14, 2012
By Danny Tuccitto | Football Outsiders
Felix JonesDale Zanine/US PresswireFelix Jones has a good matchup against the Cleveland Browns this week.

Trade deadlines vary from league to league, but I'm guessing enough readers still have theirs yet to pass that it's worth taking one final look at DVOA-based schedule strengths for position players. Because trades at this point are likely geared toward exploiting favorable matchups during the fantasy playoffs, the table below is for Weeks 14 to 16. And of course, even if your moves are limited to free agency and the waiver wire, the information should still be useful for playoff matchups of the super sneaky variety.

In the passing game, Matt Schaub and Ryan Tannehill are likely available on the cheap after they scored 9.4 points combined in Week 10. Even better, Sam Bradford is probably languishing in free agency, but the combination of an easy schedule and Danny Amendola's return means he's worth a spot on your roster as either an insurance policy or as a QB2 in leagues that start two quarterbacks.

On the flip side, with Jay Cutler's status uncertain going forward -- remember, science says his sixth concussion increases the odds of an imminent seventh -- Brandon Marshall is a good sell-high candidate right now.

To get most of the running backs with easy playoff schedules, you'll have to pry them from their owners' cold, dead hands. Among the more realistic options, I trust Shonn Greene about as much as I trust Chris Johnson (which is not a lot) and Reggie Bush is now in a full-fledged timeshare with Daniel Thomas. That leaves Jonathan Stewart, who still can't shake off DeAngelo Williams despite the coaching staff giving him every opportunity to do so. In other words, there isn't a lot of value here.

The same goes for backs with the toughest schedules. Adrian Peterson has been preternatural of late, including against stout run defenses like Tampa Bay and Seattle, so I wouldn't be too concerned about Minnesota's slate from Weeks 14 to 16. Therefore, the sell-high candidates are Frank Gore, who faces three of Football Outsiders' top eight run defenses during the fantasy playoffs, and Matt Forte, who doesn't face an opponent in the bottom half of our run defense rankings until Week 17 (i.e., after your fantasy season is over).

Here are the featured matchups for Week 11: