Players who will score fewer TDs
Several big names among those whose point totals should drop
During that same span of six years, 37 players scored more than 12 offensive touchdowns during the regular season. Only one, Maurice Jones-Drew, scored more the next year, and the average Year 2 touchdown total is 7.8, which works out to a drop of almost seven scores per player.
The message here is simple: According to recent statistics, non-quarterbacks simply don't sustain high touchdown totals.
Below are 10 players whom opportunity-adjusted touchdown (OTD) analysis suggests are in for a drop in touchdowns this season. Of those players, eight scored 10 or more touchdowns last season.
To see the list of players who figure to score fewer touchdowns in 2014 than they did in '13, you must be an ESPN Insider.
FANTASY TOP HEADLINES
- Karabell: Week 16 flex rankings
- Berry: Punishing fantasy 'losers'
- Fantasy Football Week 16 quarterback rankings
- Kaiser: Will Ibaka's numbers improve?
MOST SENT STORIES ON ESPN.COM
FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFT KIT
The 2014 fantasy football season is almost here. Start preparing for your draft with our rankings, projections, profiles and more! Draft Kit »