- Scott Kacsmar, Football Outsiders
Those who drafted Jamaal Charles for their fantasy teams had to be thrilled when he produced 195 receiving yards and five total touchdowns (51 standard-league fantasy points) in the fantasy playoffs this past week.
Owners of Adrian Peterson likely spent the No. 1 pick in the draft on him, only to not have him on Sunday. However, if you picked up someone by the name of "Matt Asiata" and played him against the Eagles, you got 24 points. Pair that with a kicker such as Dan Bailey or Justin Tucker, and suddenly that's 47 to 48 points from the most unexpected of places.
In the fantasy playoffs, the value of the player you drafted highly in August may be no better than the guy you just picked up off the waiver wire in December.
We'll try to give you as many options as possible for Championship Week, and no, Asiata is not one of them. That was a one-time situation. Here are the best and worst fantasy matchups for Week 16:
(Note: references to defensive rankings for the pass and run are based on Football Outsiders' DVOA metric, explained here).
Colin Kaepernick (plus-4 points)
He has picked it up in the past month, and the return of Michael Crabtree gives him three strong options at receiver. The Falcons rank 31st against the pass, and lousy defenses have not been much of a problem for Kaepernick.
12hEric D. Williams
3hChris Broussard and Marc Stein