Best, worst Week 15 matchups

Andrew Luck, Shane Vereen among players with favorable opportunities

Updated: December 11, 2013, 1:21 PM ET
By Scott Kacsmar | Football Outsiders

Andrew LuckBrian Spurlock/USA TODAY SportsAndrew Luck, who's coming off a 32-point fantasy outing, is a good play in Week 15.

The real NFL playoffs can be accused of producing random results these days with No. 6 seeds making championship runs and a player such as David Tyree providing arguably the greatest play in Super Bowl history.

The fantasy playoffs carry even more randomness with all 32 teams in action. Who would have imagined journeyman quarterback Josh McCown would lead all players with 38 fantasy points in Week 14? He was one of the quarterbacks I suggested last week as a starter over Andrew Luck, who finished second with 32 fantasy points.

And everyone had LaVon Brazill and Da'Rick Rogers scoring two touchdowns apiece against a Cincinnati defense that had not allowed more than three offensive touchdowns in 23 consecutive games, right?

This is still the time of year to trust your gut (and your studs), but the unexpected results and crushing injuries are certainly harder to take when the season is on the line in the playoffs.

Here are the best and worst fantasy matchups for Week 15:

(Note: References to defensive rankings for the pass and run are based on Football Outsiders' DVOA metric, explained here).

Quarterbacks


Andrew Luck (plus-4 points)

Last week was a pleasant surprise as Luck tossed four touchdown passes. It helps that no one on the Bengals wanted to tackle Brazill. Luck usually bounces back well from a loss, and Week 14 was the best he has looked since the Reggie Wayne injury. The Texans rank 27th against the pass and just fired their coach. That team is a mess, and the Colts are at home with perhaps a new target in Rogers to catch the passes Darrius Heyward-Bey continues to drop. You can start Luck this week.


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Scott Kacsmar

Football Outsiders
Scott Kacsmar is an Assistant Editor at Football Outsiders.