November 19, 2008, 11:35 AM
Playing with Numbers: Analyzing catch rate
Royal isn't just good; he's great. When you look at the numbers, you'll find Royal catches 73 percent of the balls thrown to him, but Marshall hauls the pigskin in only 57 percent of the time. When you compare those rates to Jay Cutler's completion percentage when he targets a wide receiver (62 percent), you'll see why I think it's probable that Cutler will be moving some of Marshall's targets Royal's way. Giving up targets is never a good way to build fantasy value.
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