Playing with Numbers: Why Rivers' start is such a fluke

Updated: October 10, 2008, 11:35 AM ET
By Ken Daube | Special to
I do not have a grudge against the Chargers. However, by the end of this paragraph and based on last week's column, I can understand why the classy residents of San Diego might just feel that way. I'll just come right out and say it: Philip Rivers' hot start is a crazy fluke. Mathematically, his production to date is nothing more than a statistical anomaly. He has benefited significantly from improbable performances from his receiving corps and anyone expecting such incredible events to continue is simply oblivious to reality.

Ken Daube

Fantasy Football
Ken Daube is a fantasy football analyst for He co-hosts "Fantasy Football Now" with Dave Rothenberg on Sundays between 11 a.m. and 1 p.m. ET, which streams at, and can also be listened to via the ESPN Radio app.