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Insider

Playing with Numbers: Why Rivers' start is such a fluke

10/10/2008

I do not have a grudge against the Chargers. However, by the end of this paragraph and based on last week's column, I can understand why the classy residents of San Diego might just feel that way. I'll just come right out and say it: Philip Rivers' hot start is a crazy fluke. Mathematically, his production to date is nothing more than a statistical anomaly. He has benefited significantly from improbable performances from his receiving corps and anyone expecting such incredible events to continue is simply oblivious to reality.

While I am at it, let me also break the hearts of those who have been encouraged by the solid start of J.T. O'Sullivan or the not-as-bad-as-expected performance of JaMarcus Russell. Their performances also reek of mathematical improbability.