Commentary

This week's studs and duds

Durant faces tough schedule, while Hibbert's is favorable

Originally Published: February 17, 2012
By Bradford Doolittle | Basketball Prospectus
DurantAP Photo/Sue OgrockiWith a brutal schedule coming, fantasy owners might want to expect less from Durant this scoring period.

Using opponent data for each team on the following week's schedule, Basketball Prospectus can estimate how much a player's performance will vary because of the defenses he will face. (Click here for more details on the process.) Each week, Bradford Doolittle takes a look at five players to use, five to limit and an ideal pickup.

Must-plays


These are players currently owned by fewer than half of owners in ESPN Fantasy Basketball 2012 who might be worth a roster spot in the week ahead.

Gerald Henderson (owned 19.1 percent, opponent boost 12.6 percent)

Be careful, because although the Bobcats seem intent on getting Henderson back in the lineup, teams tend to oversell these things. Before Henderson went down with a strained hamstring, he had emerged as a solid 15-17 point scorer on a team starved for consistent offense. He's played the majority minutes at shooting guard this season even though Charlotte coach Paul Silas has experimented with a small starting backcourt, moving Henderson to the 3. It sounds as though either recently returned D.J. Augustin or rookie Kemba Walker will head to the bench, so the small guard lineup appears dead for now. Reggie Williams has shot just 35 percent from the floor, so Henderson shouldn't have trouble reclaiming his position. Once he does, the next couple of weeks look relatively bright. And light -- Charlotte plays just four times during that stretch, whereas most teams are playing five or six times. Each of Charlotte's four matchups, especially the three during the first week, is favorable for shooting guards.


To read the rest of Basketball Prospectus' list of five must-start players, five players with tough schedules in the coming week and one player to target, you must be an ESPN Insider.

ALSO SEE