Uncommon Thievery: Changes in Baltimore
If Baltimore's love affair with Girardi doesn't pan out, you won't have much to worry about if you're a Roberts owner. Name me a manager who doesn't run and I'll show you one who does when he has the right players. Dusty Baker, for example, was never a big running manager, but you'd never know it if you looked at Juan Pierre's 58 stolen bases in 78 attempts in 2006. Fact of the matter is, the elite speedsters are going to run regardless of their manager. There are a few exceptions -- like Manny Acta (though it's still early in his managerial career) and whoever's managing Billy Beane's Athletics -- but for the most part, managers will run if they have elite speed at their disposal. It's the fringe speedsters you have to worry about when you have a risk-adverse manager on your hands.
While Patterson's pure speed can hardly be described as fringe; one has to be concerned about his .258 on-base percentage. Given that this has been an ongoing issue throughout his career, it's hard to imagine that he's going to get back on track anytime soon, regardless of the managerial change. Patterson is as high risk as they come, so just realize that you're playing with fire if you decide to take a gamble on him. As for Mora and Markakis, both have seen the benefits of playing for a small-ball type manager this season, and those random steals they provide (five for Mora, six for Markakis) could dry up if Girardi isn't named manager when everything is said and done.
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