BaseballHQ: Hidden Power Sources
Updated: March 24, 2007, 12:55 PM ETBy Joshua Randall | BaseballHQ
The perceived value of the following players is at rock bottom, but they could turn a significant profit under the right conditions. These are the $1 end-gamers who may earn $10. Ryan Doumit (C, PIT) has some positive and some negative power indicators. Positive: His fly ball rate rose from 33 percent in '05 to 38 percent in '06 and his prorated home run output is holding steady in the 18 HR per 500 AB range. Negative: An erratic slugging percentage trend (.421-.455-.397). He'll fight for time backing up Ronny Paulino (C, PIT). Alex Escobar (CF, WAS) has never realized the potential he flashed in 2003, when he hit 28 HR in 538 AB. More than 300 DL days in the past five years is the main reason. Escobar still owns those skills, and at age 28 it is not too late for him to reclaim them. As part of the Nationals' youth movement in the outfield, Escobar could settle into more than the 154 AB we project, giving him a chance to exceed those four HR. However, given Escobar's lingering ailments and uncertain playing time, this is only a risk worth taking in deep NL-only leagues.