Cockcroft: The Upside To the Injury-Prone

Updated: March 17, 2007, 2:05 PM ET
By Tristan H. Cockcroft | ESPN.com
There comes a point in every fantasy baseball draft where you're faced with taking a chance. Sure, it might be nice to take an entire roster of safe, reliable players, but if you do that, you won't earn enough profit on your picks to build a title-winning team.

Now, there are different degrees of risk a fantasy owner can take: The rookie, the comeback candidate, the injury-prone performer. But it's that latter class of most interest today; injury-prone players are a scary group to the fantasy owner, and they're among the toughest commodities to evaluate when doing your draft rankings.

Is it worth taking a chance on a player you think -- or know -- is going to miss a significant chunk of the season? And if so, how does one determine the value of a player likely to spend a considerable amount of time on the disabled list?

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