Crazy crap analytics can prove
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Andrew Luck won't save Indianapolis
By KC Joyner
IF INDY DRAFTS Andrew Luck No. 1, Colts fans had better hope history doesn't repeat itself. While the franchise has drafted a QB in the top overall spot four times (Peyton Manning, Jeff George, John Elway and George Shaw), only Manning and Elway reached elite status -- and Elway did so in Denver. Luck is not likely to end up a bust like Shaw (who was replaced in his second year by rookie Johnny Unitas), but a closer look at his numbers suggests he won't be like Manning either.
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ESPN The Magazine: March 5, 2012