Crazy crap analytics can prove

Nobody likes a know-it-all. But when did you start caring about what people think? Get ready to annoy friends and win arguments!

Updated: August 13, 2012, 4:36 PM ET
ESPN The Magazine

Andrew Luck won't save Indianapolis
By KC Joyner

IF INDY DRAFTS Andrew Luck No. 1, Colts fans had better hope history doesn't repeat itself. While the franchise has drafted a QB in the top overall spot four times (Peyton Manning, Jeff George, John Elway and George Shaw), only Manning and Elway reached elite status -- and Elway did so in Denver. Luck is not likely to end up a bust like Shaw (who was replaced in his second year by rookie Johnny Unitas), but a closer look at his numbers suggests he won't be like Manning either.