Beware of regression to the mean
When new coaches have success, they usually don't deserve all the credit
Every year, across all sports, a handful of coaching changes seems to trigger sudden, sharp team turnarounds. Fans inevitably react to these reversals of fortune by crediting the new guy's discipline and smarts ("Jason Garrett really brings out the best in the Cowboys ") while questioning athletes' commitment and heart under the old guy ("But man, the team must really have been mailing it in for Wade Phillips").
To read more regression to the mean and its influence in the sports world, you must be an ESPN Insider.
ESPN TOP HEADLINES
- Royals edge Giants, grab 2-1 Series lead
- Mariota throws 5 TDs as Oregon trumps Cal
- PGA ousts prez for Poulter 'girl' comments
- Kobe salutes Nash: Ailing PG gave it his all