Commentary

Projecting Heisman scenarios

How's how candidates other than Luck and Richardson can get back in the mix

Updated: November 1, 2011, 10:03 AM ET
By Ryan McCrystal | ESPN Insider
Landry JonesAP Photo/Orlin WagnerLandry Jones isn't a Heisman favorite, but he could still win if Alabama and Stanford lose.

With October now in the rearview mirror, the Heisman picture is starting to come into focus.

Alabama Crimson Tide running back Trent Richardson and Stanford Cardinal quarterback Andrew Luck have established themselves as the favorites, but neither one has an easy road ahead.

Luck, Richardson and a few others are clearly having seasons worthy of Heisman consideration, which means each remaining game will play a significant role in the outcome.

One of the most important factors in the Heisman voting -- whether you believe it to be fair or not -- is team success. So we've identified four plausible scenarios involving the top contenders' teams and, enlisting the help of AccuScore to determine individual statistics, projected the Heisman winner in each situation.

Scenario No. 1: Alabama and Stanford win out

If Alabama and Stanford each run the table, we could be headed toward one of the closest votes in the history of the Heisman Trophy. Based on AccuScore's projections, Luck and Richardson are on pace to finish tied atop the Heisman Predictor standings.

There are, however, a number of ways for one player to earn an edge in the final month of the season.