<
>
Insider

Odds for contenders to win out

Braxton Miller and the Buckeyes are a good bet to win the rest of their remaining games. Andrew Weber/USA TODAY Sports

Eight Football Bowl Subdivision teams currently remain undefeated, including six from the major AQ conferences. Dominating performances over the weekend from Alabama, Oregon, Florida State and Ohio State have positioned all four atop the current BCS standings and the polls. Baylor and Miami aren't far behind. Fresno State and Northern Illinois are positioned to crash a BCS bowl from the non-AQ ranks.

How likely are we to have a glut of undefeated teams at the end of the season? Not particularly. BCS chaos has been a common refrain over the years, but it is too early to fret over how many undefeated teams are still hanging around at the end of October. Some of the biggest games of the regular season lie in the weeks ahead, and many of the biggest BCS shakeups over the years have traditionally come in November.

That said, we have reached the tipping point in the regular season when teams currently positioned at the top of the BCS standings are more likely than not to stay there. According to our latest FEI ratings, three AQ conference teams have a better than 50 percent chance of remaining undefeated this year.

All eight current undefeated teams are ranked below according to the likelihood they will remain undefeated. At the end, we also break down the win-out likelihoods for the current one-loss contenders.


1. Ohio State Buckeyes (8-0)

Odds of winning out: 54.2 percent