Heisman Predictor: It's Manziel
Why the numbers say that Johnny Football will take home the Heisman
Just 12 games into his career, Texas A&M Aggies star freshman Johnny Manziel's name is already all over the record books. And Saturday, the legend of Johnny Football will reach unprecedented heights.
While the Heisman Predictor expects a close finish (Manziel leads by only 1.5 points), he is expected to hang on for a tight victory over Kansas State Wildcats quarterback Collin Klein to become the first freshman to hoist the trophy.
Manziel's impending victory sheds some light on what the current crop of voters truly cares about in the Heisman race. Prior to Kansas State's loss against the Baylor Bears, Klein was the runaway favorite and probably would have won this race by a significant margin had the Wildcats run the table. In fact, if we enter Klein's stats into the Predictor's formula with a perfect record, he comes out 17.5 points ahead of Manziel -- enough for a guaranteed victory, probably by one of the widest margins in the history of the award.
So what does this tell us about the Heisman voters?
To read the complete season-ending Heisman Predictor column, you must be an ESPN Insider.
-
ESPN The Magazine subscribers
-
Need more information?
SPONSORED HEADLINES
MORE COLLEGE FOOTBALL HEADLINES
- Sources: Oklahoma St. limits QB Lunt's options
- For Irish, may be BCS or bust for bowl spot
- Saban: 'Devil' words 'terribly disappointing'
- Running back Richardson will leave Virginia
MOST SENT STORIES ON ESPN.COM
Insider CFB content

LATEST CONTENT ![]()
Expert Takes
• Kiper: Top prospects for 2014, by position• Haney: CFB's top 10 teams based on talent
• Kiper: Top QB prospects for 2014 | RBs | WRs
• Haney: Make-or-break QB prospect scenarios
• Joyner: Prospects set for breakout seasons
• Haney: Prospects who can elevate programs
Post-spring projections
• Pac-12: Oregon, Stanford, USC on top• ACC: Can Clemson win the league title?
• SEC: Bama, South Carolina early favorites
• Big Ten: Surprise winner in Legends
• Big 12: Two-team race for first place
RecruitingNation
• Michigan No. 1 in 2014 class rankings• Luginbill: Answering mailbag questions
• Crabtree: Urban recruits popular draft picks
• Notre Dame, Boise State trending up
• Recruiting updates for Pac-12 teams
• Recruiting updates for Big Ten teams
• Recruiting updates for SEC teams
• Recruiting updates for ACC teams
• Recruiting updates for Big East teams
• Recruiting updates for Big 12 teams
ESSENTIAL LINKS ![]()
Rumor Central
Get news and rumblings before anyone
Travis Haney's blog
Analysis and buzz from around the nation
- Kiper: Top prospects for 2014, by position
- Recruiting: Michigan tops 2014 class ranks
- Haney: CFB's top 10 teams based on talent
- Kiper: Top QB prospects for 2014 | RBs | WRs
- Fremeau: Who will win the SEC? | Pac-12

