Florida will fall in Week 3

Every week during the season, Will Harris will check with the computers (using TeamRankings' win odds) and wiseguys to evaluate the upset possibilities in college football's most compelling games and give his picks for who'll come out on top.

Week 2 saw Nebraska, Wisconsin and Arkansas exposed, while the old guard won two big SEC road clashes against the league's expansion teams.

Upset Watch split those two games, going 7-3 overall again to move to 14-6 this season.

This week we fade the Gators again, use Arkansas to illustrate a profitable handicapping scenario, uncover a pair of live dogs in intrastate rivalry tilts and find value in some double-digit road favorites.

Florida Gators at Tennessee Volunteers

Tennessee is favored by 3 points
TeamRankings win odds for Florida: 39 percent

Credit the Gators for gutting out a win in College Station, but they're up against it in the encore. Florida now must overcome a second straight ESPN "College GameDay" crowd and against a much better team. The Gators also have to do it with a banged-up lineup. Florida has lost two key defenders long term in linebacker Jelani Jenkins and corner Cody Riggs, and several other starters are nursing injuries.

To read Will Harris' upset picks for Week 3, you must be an ESPN Insider.

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