Commentary

Upset odds, picks for Week 5

Aggies, Bears and Crimson Tide are among those looking to hold off underdogs

Updated: September 29, 2011, 11:53 AM ET
By Will Harris | ESPN Insider

Every week during the season, Will Harris will conspire with the computers (using TeamRankings' game predictor) and the wiseguys to evaluate the upset possibilities in college football's most compelling games -- and give his picks for who'll come out on top.

Two weeks ago not a single ranked team lost as a favorite. Last week there was only one. The Oklahoma State Cowboys' Kyle Field comeback was the biggest statement of the weekend.

It was also one of three misses for Upset Watch, which posted a 5-3 week to move to 19-12 against the spread on the year. This week we're looking at more underdogs in Big 12 play, as well as an ACC team that's out of gas and an SEC team that's just getting warmed up.

Alabama Crimson Tide at Florida Gators

Alabama is favored by 3.5 points
TeamRankings win odds for Florida: 46 percent


To read more about who is on upset alert this week as well as the picks, sign up for ESPN Insider.

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