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Biggest bowl mismatches

Florida State quarterback Jameis Winston leads one of the nation's most prolific offenses. Melina Vastola/USA TODAY Sports

Bowl matchups are often difficult to predict because of long layoffs, coaching changes and differing levels of motivation between the teams. But strictly from a statistical standpoint, there are always mismatches. Sure, you could go by the Vegas lines and determine the biggest advantages for one team over another, but this is meant to dig a little deeper, identifying the causes for some of those big point spreads or, in some cases, a reason to believe the underdog may have an advantage it can exploit.

For the remaining bowl games, here's a look at eight of the biggest unit mismatches -- some of them in very specific game situations.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets versus Ole Miss Rebels
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec. 30 (ESPN)
Mismatch:
 goal-to-go offense

The Yellow Jackets have the nation's most effective goal-to-go offense, having converted 32 opportunities into 31 touchdowns and one field goal. The Rebels rank No. 108 at defending goal-to-go situations, having allowed an 87 percent touchdown rate (20 TDs in 23 opportunities). The percentage was even worse -- nine TDs and one FG allowed in 10 opportunities -- in the Rebels' five losses.