Friday, October 11, 2013
Big numbers for Luck in MNF debut?
By Tom Carpenter
Andrew Luck will make his Monday night debut in Week 6 in a road tilt with the San Diego Chargers. Luck has been solid as a passer this season, but he hasn't had a 300-yard, multi-touchdown performance yet. Could this be the week that Luck reaches both marks? There is one angle of the matchup -- Luck's passing proficiency versus a weakness in the Chargers D -- that suggests he might.
According to ESPN Stats & Information, Luck completed just 50.3 percent of his pass attempts when facing five or more pass-rushers last season, which ranked 28th in the NFL. This season, he has completed 67.9 percent of his passes in such situations, which ranks fifth overall. Luck also has bumped his QBR from 60.6 to 79.2 and his yards per attempt from 6.7 to 8.3 against five-plus rushers.
The trouble for the Chargers is that they have sent five pass-rushers often this season (71 times, 11th-most) but have had little success. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 70.5 percent (third-highest percentage in NFL) of their passes and have scored six touchdowns (fourth-most in NFL) against the Chargers' 5-plus rush.
This is just one element of the battle that will take place between Luck, his O-line and and the Chargers D, but if the Chargers try to generate pressure on him with a heavy pass rush, then that may actually play to his skills. Luck is a great play this week in all fantasy formats. He comes in at No. 5 in our weekly rankings.